Mlada Boleslav 0-2 Slavia Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
49%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.03
6+ Goals
9%
9.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 30% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
14%
+10.7pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.6pp
49%
Away Win
66%
-17.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 70%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.27/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/0.85
+42% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -3%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
197 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
Crosses 23.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Slavia Prag
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.40 xG 3.35
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
197 Passes 394
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 44
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 4-0 HT 2-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
10.12.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
13.08.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-1 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
09.04.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-1 HT 1-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
16.10.2022 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-1 HT 2-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
12.12.2021 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-0 HT 2-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
0-2
AWAY Slavia Prag
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
252 Passes 368
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Slavia Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Prag saw off Mlada Boleslav 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slavia Prag as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 42% of the ball to Slavia Prag's 58%, shots finished 5-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Prag led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 2.00 for Slavia Prag.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Slavia Prag?

Mlada Boleslav 0-2 Slavia Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Slavia Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 25%, draw 26%, Slavia Prag 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Prag), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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