Oxford City 1-3 Peterborough Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Sep 2024

Oxford City
1-3 HT 0-2
Peterborough Sports
📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Oxford City vs Peterborough Sports Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 28% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oxford City v Peterborough Sports — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
2.03/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.03
+35% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Oxford City vs Peterborough Sports Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Peterborough Sports
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.02.2021 Oxford City Oxford City 2-0 HT 1-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports FAK

Oxford City 1-3 Peterborough Sports — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford City
1-3
AWAY Peterborough Sports
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Oxford City vs Peterborough Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough Sports got the better of Oxford City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Oxford City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Oxford City had 64% of the ball to Peterborough Sports's 36%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Oxford City vs Peterborough Sports?

Oxford City 1-3 Peterborough Sports in the England - Conference on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford City vs Peterborough Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 42%, draw 28%, Peterborough Sports 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oxford City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oxford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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