Zürich II 3-0 Lugano II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
15%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-2.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.1pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich II EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano II EU Bookmakers 24%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.16/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.03
+1% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Lugano II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
26.11.2023 Lugano II Lugano II 1-0 HT 0-0 Zürich II Zürich II İSV1Y
05.08.2023 Zürich II Zürich II 1-1 HT 0-1 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich II
3-0
AWAY Lugano II
61% Ball Possession 39%
25 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zürich II vs Lugano II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich II cruised past Lugano II 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zürich II as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Zürich II had 61% of the ball to Lugano II's 39%, shots finished 25-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lugano II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Zürich II and 1.00 for Lugano II.

What was the final score of Zürich II vs Lugano II?

Zürich II 3-0 Lugano II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich II vs Lugano II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zürich II win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Zürich II 56%, draw 23%, Lugano II 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zürich II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zürich II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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