Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
41%
-7.8pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 32%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.33/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.41
-40% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 70%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
21.4 Crosses 16.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
8 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 11
09.03.2014 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-2 HT 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1-0
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
0.88 xG 0.99
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
122 Passes 359
58% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Rivadavia squeezed past Defensa y Justicia 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Independiente Rivadavia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 32% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 68%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.88 to 0.99.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Defensa y Justicia?

Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 33%, draw 31%, Defensa y Justicia 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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