PSBS Biak Numfor 2-1 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSBS Biak Numfor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +63%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSBS Biak Numfor
2-1
AWAY Madura United
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSBS Biak Numfor vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSBS Biak Numfor nicked a narrow win over Madura United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PSBS Biak Numfor as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, PSBS Biak Numfor had 51% of the ball to Madura United's 49%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of PSBS Biak Numfor vs Madura United?

PSBS Biak Numfor 2-1 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSBS Biak Numfor vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSBS Biak Numfor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split PSBS Biak Numfor 50%, draw 27%, Madura United 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSBS Biak Numfor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSBS Biak Numfor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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