Verdal 3-2 Stabaek II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 17 Sep 2024

Verdal
3-2 HT 1-2
Stabaek II
📅17/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - 3rd Division – 2024

Verdal vs Stabaek II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
3.94
Over 2.5
71%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.28
No
36%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
33%
-4.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+3.5pp
29%
Under 2.5
22%
+7.5pp
71%
Over 2.5
78%
-7.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
74%
-10.1pp
36%
BTTS No
26%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Verdal v Stabaek II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verdal EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek II EU Bookmakers 49%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.69/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/1.44
-12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.8

Verdal vs Stabaek II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Verdal
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Stabaek II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
02.06.2024 Stabaek II Stabaek II 3-3 HT 3-1 Verdal Verdal NOR4
POST-MATCH Verdal vs Stabaek II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verdal edged past Stabaek II 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Stabaek II at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

What was the final score of Verdal vs Stabaek II?

Verdal 3-2 Stabaek II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verdal vs Stabaek II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stabaek II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Verdal 29%, draw 22%, Stabaek II 48%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stabaek II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stabaek II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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