Sportivo Trinidense 2-3 Tacuary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tacuary EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +20%
1.96/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.17
+57% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
221 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 71%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tacuary
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Tacuary Tacuary 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
10.02.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-3 HT 0-2 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
06.11.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
20.09.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 1-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PARK
27.08.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 1-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
13.04.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
2-3
AWAY Tacuary
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Tacuary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tacuary squeezed past Sportivo Trinidense 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sportivo Trinidense at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 60% of the ball to Tacuary's 40%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sportivo Trinidense and 1.00 for Tacuary.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Tacuary?

Sportivo Trinidense 2-3 Tacuary in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Tacuary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Trinidense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 44%, draw 24%, Tacuary 32%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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