Al Nassr 5-0 Istiqlol — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — AFC Champions League Two, 17 Sep 2025

Al Nassr WWDWW→
5 - 0 HT 2 - 0
Istiqlol LLLLL→
📅17/09/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
AFC Champions League Two – 2025/2026

Al Nassr vs Istiqlol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 00:02
Match Result
HomeVIEW
87%
1.12
Draw
7%
7.87
Away
6%
11.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under
19%
3.37
Over
81%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.54
No
60%
1.45
Total Goals
0-1
7%
8.94
2-3
30%
2.42
4-5
36%
2.22
6+
27%
3.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
70%
1/2
0%
1/X
2%
X/1
14%
X/2
2%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
3%
2/X
2%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Al Nassr v Istiqlol — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Al Nassr The Market 89%
Signal
AWAY Istiqlol The Market 8%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
3.34 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.68
0.54 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.80
– Attack Strength Bad
– Defense Strength Average
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
442 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1

Al Nassr vs Istiqlol Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Istiqlol
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.77 xG 0.38
75% Ball Possession 25%
20 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
616 Passes 160
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
36 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.12.2023 Istiqlol Istiqlol 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr AŞMP
02.10.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-1 HT 0-1 Istiqlol Istiqlol AŞMP

Al Nassr 5-0 Istiqlol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
5 - 0
AWAY Istiqlol
1.95 xG 0.21
76% Ball Possession 24%
16 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
603 Passes 128
88% Pass Accuracy 62%
33 Box Touches 5
10 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Al Nassr vs Istiqlol
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Al Nassr swept aside Istiqlol 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 87%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (81%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Al Nassr had 76% of the ball to Istiqlol's 24%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 1.95 to 0.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Nassr and 1.00 for Istiqlol.

Al Nassr vs Istiqlol Result & Final Score

Al Nassr 5 - 0 Istiqlol in the AFC Champions League Two on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Al Nassr vs Istiqlol Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 87%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 87%, draw 7%, Istiqlol 6%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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