17/09/2025
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-2
2nd Score
0-3
Röthis vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
27%
Over
73%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
11%
2-3
40%
4-5
26%
6+
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
1%
X/2
19%
X/X
3%
2/1
2%
2/2
55%
2/X
2%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Sturm Graz win — 83% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
5%
Home Win
5%
11%
Draw
8%
83%
Away Win
88%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Röthis v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Röthis
The Market 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sturm Graz
The Market 94%
-4% /
-4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+4%
0.00/8.94
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
4.70/1.08
-100%
/
-61%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+30%
/
-40%
39%
Ball Possession
61%
7
Total Shots
18
3
Shots on Target
9
3
Corners
8
222 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
357 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.2
Yellow Cards
0.6
POST-MATCH
Röthis vs Sturm Graz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sturm Graz got the better of Röthis 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 83%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Röthis vs Sturm Graz?
Röthis 0-2 Sturm Graz in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Röthis vs Sturm Graz?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 83%, with the full match-result split Röthis 5%, draw 11%, Sturm Graz 83%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Sturm Graz)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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AVK
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