Karadeniz Ereğli Belediye 1-2 Bursaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
59%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
15%
+3.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
58%
Away Win
64%
-5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karadeniz Ereğli Belediye EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Bursaspor EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karadeniz Ereğli Belediye
1-2
AWAY Bursaspor
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Karadeniz Ereğli Belediye vs Bursaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bursaspor nicked a narrow win over Karadeniz Ereğli Belediye 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bursaspor as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Karadeniz Ereğli Belediye had 44% of the ball to Bursaspor's 56%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Karadeniz Ereğli Belediye vs Bursaspor?

Karadeniz Ereğli Belediye 1-2 Bursaspor in the Turkey - Cup on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karadeniz Ereğli Belediye vs Bursaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bursaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Karadeniz Ereğli Belediye 18%, draw 23%, Bursaspor 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bursaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bursaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TÜK More Turkey - Cup
17 Sep 2025
14:30 Muş Spor Kulübü vs Mazıdağı Fosfat SK Analysis →
14:30 Dersimspor vs Şanlıurfaspor Analysis →
14:30 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü Analysis →
14:30 Kahramanmaraşspor vs Karaman FK Analysis →
15:00 Galata vs Beykoz A.Ş. Analysis →
15:00 Kepezspor A.Ş vs Denizli İY Güreller Analysis →