Aqaba 1-3 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Jordan - Premier League, 17 Oct 2024

Aqaba
1-3
Al Ahli
📅17/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Jordan - Premier League – 2024/2025

Aqaba vs Al Ahli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.08
Draw
40%
3.04
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
29%
-6.4pp
40%
Draw
29%
+10.6pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aqaba v Al Ahli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aqaba EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-20% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards –

Aqaba vs Al Ahli Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aqaba
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Ahli
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-2 HT 1-1 Aqaba Aqaba ÜRD
10.08.2023 Aqaba Aqaba 2-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli ÜRD
06.01.2021 Aqaba Aqaba 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli ÜRD
30.09.2020 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-4 HT 0-2 Aqaba Aqaba ÜRD
POST-MATCH Aqaba vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli got the better of Aqaba 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (22% / 40% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Ahli found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Aqaba had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Aqaba and 0.50 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Aqaba vs Al Ahli?

Aqaba 1-3 Al Ahli in the Jordan - Premier League on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aqaba vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aqaba 22%, draw 40%, Al Ahli 38%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5
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