Huachipato 1-0 Puerto Montt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 17 Oct 2024

Huachipato
1-0 HT 1-0
Puerto Montt
📅17/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Chile - Cup – 2024

Huachipato vs Puerto Montt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-14.7pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.0pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Huachipato v Puerto Montt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huachipato EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Puerto Montt EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.43/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/3.56
+1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -27%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 71%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
19.0 Crosses 37.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Huachipato vs Puerto Montt Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huachipato
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Puerto Montt
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
3.56 xG 1.76
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
343 Passes 236
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 37
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.06.2022 Huachipato Huachipato 3-0 HT 2-0 Puerto Montt Puerto Montt ŞİLİK
19.06.2022 Puerto Montt Puerto Montt 2-2 HT 2-1 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİLİK
06.09.2015 Huachipato Huachipato 5-3 HT 1-1 Puerto Montt Puerto Montt ŞİLİK
POST-MATCH Huachipato vs Puerto Montt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huachipato nicked a narrow win over Puerto Montt 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Huachipato as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Huachipato had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Huachipato and 1.67 for Puerto Montt.

What was the final score of Huachipato vs Puerto Montt?

Huachipato 1-0 Puerto Montt in the Chile - Cup on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huachipato vs Puerto Montt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huachipato win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Huachipato 58%, draw 22%, Puerto Montt 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huachipato), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Huachipato) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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