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Twente (K) vs Chelsea (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Twente (K) v Chelsea (K) — Team-Based Signals
Twente (K) 1-3 Chelsea (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea (K) saw off Twente (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we said in the preview, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Twente (K) had 41% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 59%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.55 to 1.61.
What was the final score of Twente (K) vs Chelsea (K)?
Twente (K) 1-3 Chelsea (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Twente (K) vs Chelsea (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Twente (K) 24%, draw 22%, Chelsea (K) 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.