Wolfsburg (K) 0-2 Lyon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 17 Oct 2024

📅17/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.96
Over
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
68%
1.39
No
32%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
45%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
16%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+6.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-9.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.0pp
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
+0.2pp
32%
BTTS No
32%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.00
-23% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
Crosses 34.0
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Lyon (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.21 xG 2.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
317 Passes 335
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2020 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) ŞMP-K
27.03.2019 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 2-4 HT 0-2 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) ŞMP-K
20.03.2019 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ŞMP-K
24.05.2018 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 1-4 HT 0-0 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) ŞMP-K
29.03.2017 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ŞMP-K
23.03.2017 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
0-2
AWAY Lyon (K)
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg (K) vs Lyon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) beat Wolfsburg (K) 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wolfsburg (K) had 44% of the ball to Lyon (K)'s 56%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wolfsburg (K) and 2.50 for Lyon (K).

What was the final score of Wolfsburg (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Wolfsburg (K) 0-2 Lyon (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg (K) 33%, draw 24%, Lyon (K) 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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ŞMP-K More Champions League - Women's
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