Dibba Al Fujairah 0-1 Baniyas SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup, 17 Oct 2024

📅17/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.67
Over Pick
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2.68
2-3
44%
1.77
4-5
21%
4.38
6+
11%
22.3
Value flag · 4-5 at 4.38 — our 21% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dibba Al Fujairah EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 48%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +131% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dibba Al Fujairah
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Baniyas SC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.19 xG 1.23
42% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
203 Passes 314
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 1
17.03.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 0-2 HT 0-1 Dibba Al Fujairah Dibba Al Fujairah BAE
22.10.2022 Dibba Al Fujairah Dibba Al Fujairah 1-4 HT 1-1 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
POST-MATCH Dibba Al Fujairah vs Baniyas SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baniyas SC edged past Dibba Al Fujairah 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Baniyas SC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dibba Al Fujairah and 2.00 for Baniyas SC.

What was the final score of Dibba Al Fujairah vs Baniyas SC?

Dibba Al Fujairah 0-1 Baniyas SC in the UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dibba Al Fujairah vs Baniyas SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baniyas SC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Dibba Al Fujairah 35%, draw 29%, Baniyas SC 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baniyas SC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baniyas SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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