Dewa United 2-3 Persik Kediri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 17 Oct 2024

📅17/10/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dewa United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Persik Kediri EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.59/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.20
+15% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
282 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dewa United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Persik Kediri
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.12.2022 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 1-0 HT 1-0 Dewa United Dewa United ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dewa United
2-3
AWAY Persik Kediri
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dewa United vs Persik Kediri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persik Kediri squeezed past Dewa United 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Persik Kediri made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Dewa United had 47% of the ball to Persik Kediri's 53%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Dewa United vs Persik Kediri?

Dewa United 2-3 Persik Kediri in the Indonesia League 1 on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dewa United vs Persik Kediri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dewa United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dewa United 38%, draw 30%, Persik Kediri 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dewa United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dewa United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
17 Oct 2024
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