Buriram United 1-0 Uthai Thani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 17 Oct 2024

📅17/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.22
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.14
Over 2.5
57%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
78%
-15.9pp
20%
Draw
13%
+6.6pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+9.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
28%
+14.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
72%
-14.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buriram United EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Uthai Thani EU Bookmakers 11%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.92/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.70
+21% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 77%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
20.8 Crosses 10.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buriram United
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Uthai Thani
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.51 xG 0.51
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
480 Passes 470
89% Pass Accuracy 88%
37 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2024 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani 0-2 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
13.03.2024 Buriram United Buriram United 2-2 HT 1-0 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAYLK
23.12.2023 Buriram United Buriram United 4-0 HT 1-0 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buriram United
1-0
AWAY Uthai Thani
58% Ball Possession 42%
25 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Buriram United vs Uthai Thani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United squeezed past Uthai Thani 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Buriram United had 58% of the ball to Uthai Thani's 42%, shots finished 25-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Buriram United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Buriram United and 0.67 for Uthai Thani.

What was the final score of Buriram United vs Uthai Thani?

Buriram United 1-0 Uthai Thani in the Thailand - 1st Division on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Uthai Thani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 62%, draw 20%, Uthai Thani 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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