Alcorcon 0-3 Sabadell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.58
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.5pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabadell EU Bookmakers 29%
+17% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.89/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.51
+39% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 5.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcorcon
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sabadell
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 0.79
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
241 Passes 295
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.05.2021 Alcorcon Alcorcon 2-0 HT 1-0 Sabadell Sabadell İS2
09.12.2020 Sabadell Sabadell 1-1 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
09.05.2015 Sabadell Sabadell 0-1 HT 0-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
07.12.2014 Alcorcon Alcorcon 3-2 HT 3-1 Sabadell Sabadell İS2
20.04.2014 Alcorcon Alcorcon 3-1 HT 2-1 Sabadell Sabadell İS2
16.11.2013 Sabadell Sabadell 1-2 HT 0-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
0-3
AWAY Sabadell
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs Sabadell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabadell ran out comfortable winners over Alcorcon 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alcorcon at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Alcorcon had 51% of the ball to Sabadell's 49%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alcorcon had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alcorcon and 0.83 for Sabadell.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Sabadell?

Alcorcon 0-3 Sabadell in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Sabadell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 43%, draw 27%, Sabadell 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Alcorcon), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alcorcon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
17 Oct 2025
22:15 Cartagena vs Algeciras Analysis →