Pontypridd Town AFC 3-1 Cefn Cribwr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.18
Draw
16%
6.26
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
80%
-8.5pp
16%
Draw
13%
+3.0pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Cefn Cribwr EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+93% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
440 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Cefn Cribwr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC got the better of Cefn Cribwr 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pontypridd Town AFC as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Cefn Cribwr?

Pontypridd Town AFC 3-1 Cefn Cribwr in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Cefn Cribwr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 72%, draw 16%, Cefn Cribwr 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALWK More Wales - Welsh Cup
17 Oct 2025
21:45 Llanelli Town vs Haverfordwest County Analysis →
22:00 Llandudno FC vs Flint Mountain Analysis →