Al Ahed 2-0 Al Mabarrah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
33%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
72%
-3.4pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.3pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mabarrah EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+31% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
448 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahed
2-0
AWAY Al Mabarrah
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahed vs Al Mabarrah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahed got the better of Al Mabarrah 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahed as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Al Ahed had 52% of the ball to Al Mabarrah's 48%, shots finished 15-12.

What was the final score of Al Ahed vs Al Mabarrah?

Al Ahed 2-0 Al Mabarrah in the Lebanon - Premier League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahed vs Al Mabarrah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Al Ahed 69%, draw 18%, Al Mabarrah 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahed), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahed) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
17 Oct 2025
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