Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 Kahraba Ismailia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
14%
5.44
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
21%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.4pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kahraba Ismailia EU Bookmakers 30%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
0.88/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.03
-22% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
22.5 Crosses 9.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
1-0
AWAY Kahraba Ismailia
0.63 xG 0.54
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
290 Passes 213
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ghazl El Mehalla vs Kahraba Ismailia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ghazl El Mehalla edged past Kahraba Ismailia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; Ghazl El Mehalla found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ghazl El Mehalla had 56% of the ball to Kahraba Ismailia's 44%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 0.63 to 0.54.

What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs Kahraba Ismailia?

Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 Kahraba Ismailia in the Egypt - Premier League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Kahraba Ismailia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ghazl El Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ghazl El Mehalla 40%, draw 34%, Kahraba Ismailia 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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