Miedz Legnica 2-2 Pogon Siedlce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 17 Oct 2025

Miedz Legnica
2 - 2 HT 1 - 2
Pogon Siedlce
📅17/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Miedz Legnica vs Pogon Siedlce Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.74
Away
21%
4.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.02
Over
56%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.76
2-3
45%
1.8
4-5
26%
2.99
6+
8%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Miedz Legnica v Pogon Siedlce — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Miedz Legnica The Market 58%
Signal
AWAY Pogon Siedlce The Market 25%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.02 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.23
1.01 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.72
Average Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3 Yellow Cards 3

Miedz Legnica vs Pogon Siedlce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miedz Legnica
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.09.2025 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 2-0 HT 1-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POLK
10.05.2025 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 3-0 HT 1-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
03.11.2024 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 4-1 HT 3-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
25.09.2015 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-1 HT 0-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
24.05.2015 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-0 HT 1-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
31.10.2014 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-0 HT 1-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1

Miedz Legnica 2-2 Pogon Siedlce — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miedz Legnica
2 - 2
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Miedz Legnica vs Pogon Siedlce
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 2-2 draw left Miedz Legnica and Pogon Siedlce with a point apiece. Half-time: 1-2.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Miedz Legnica at 56% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Miedz Legnica had 64% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 36%, shots finished 23-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Miedz Legnica had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Miedz Legnica and 1.00 for Pogon Siedlce.

Miedz Legnica vs Pogon Siedlce Result & Final Score

Miedz Legnica 2 - 2 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Miedz Legnica vs Pogon Siedlce Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Miedz Legnica win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Miedz Legnica 56%, draw 23%, Pogon Siedlce 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Miedz Legnica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Miedz Legnica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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