Zlate Moravce 2-1 Puchov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
13%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.4pp
13%
Away Win
14%
-1.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zlate Moravce EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Puchov EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +20%
2.17/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.41
+9% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +38%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zlate Moravce
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Puchov
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.05.2025 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 1-2 HT 0-1 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
26.10.2024 Puchov Puchov 0-1 HT 0-1 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLVK2
01.03.2022 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 1-0 HT 0-0 Puchov Puchov SLOVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zlate Moravce
2-1
AWAY Puchov
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zlate Moravce vs Puchov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zlate Moravce edged past Puchov 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zlate Moravce as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zlate Moravce had 52% of the ball to Puchov's 48%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zlate Moravce had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zlate Moravce and 0.67 for Puchov.

What was the final score of Zlate Moravce vs Puchov?

Zlate Moravce 2-1 Puchov in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zlate Moravce vs Puchov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zlate Moravce win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Zlate Moravce 64%, draw 23%, Puchov 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zlate Moravce), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zlate Moravce) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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