Everton (K) 1-0 Liverpool (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.87
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
22%
+13.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.19/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.66
+14% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / +36%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
239 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 80%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
15.5 Crosses 28.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton (K)
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Liverpool (K)
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.88 xG 2.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
255 Passes 303
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
3 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.03.2024 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
17.11.2019 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
11.05.2019 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 3-1 HT 2-1 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
02.12.2018 Everton (K) Everton (K) 2-1 HT 2-1 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
29.04.2018 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
22.09.2017 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton (K)
1-0
AWAY Liverpool (K)
0.90 xG 1.69
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
206 Passes 453
65% Pass Accuracy 79%
7 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 29
POST-MATCH Everton (K) vs Liverpool (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton (K) squeezed past Liverpool (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Everton (K) had 35% of the ball to Liverpool (K)'s 65%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.90 to 1.69 — on chances, Liverpool (K) could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Everton (K) and 1.17 for Liverpool (K).

What was the final score of Everton (K) vs Liverpool (K)?

Everton (K) 1-0 Liverpool (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton (K) vs Liverpool (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Everton (K) 36%, draw 21%, Liverpool (K) 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNKPL More England - Women's Premier League
17 Nov 2024
17:00 Aston Villa (K) vs Crystal Palace (K) Analysis →
18:00 Leicester City WFC (K) vs Manchester United (K) Analysis →