Roma (K) 2-1 Lazio (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.28
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.98
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
-12.8pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.1pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.11/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.53
+31% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
428 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
40.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
24.0 Crosses 14.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
2-1
AWAY Lazio (K)
2.25 xG 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
25 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 4
239 Passes 363
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Lazio (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) squeezed past Lazio (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Roma (K) had 42% of the ball to Lazio (K)'s 58%, shots finished 25-12, expected goals 2.25 to 0.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Roma (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Roma (K) 2-1 Lazio (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Lazio (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 61%, draw 20%, Lazio (K) 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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