Sevilla (K) 1-2 Atletico Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
5.4
Draw
33%
3.94
Away
33%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
15%
+17.9pp
33%
Draw
22%
+11.3pp
33%
Away Win
63%
-29.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.99/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.77
+41% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +124%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
10.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
13.9 Crosses 22.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.68 xG 1.16
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
229 Passes 410
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.06.2024 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla (K)
1-2
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
0.99 xG 1.82
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
173 Passes 460
67% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sevilla (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) squeezed past Sevilla (K) 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Atletico Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sevilla (K) had 33% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 67%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.99 to 1.82.

What was the final score of Sevilla (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Sevilla (K) 1-2 Atletico Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Sevilla (K) 33%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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