Bayern München (K) 5-0 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.11
Draw
19%
8.78
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
85%
-21.0pp
19%
Draw
8%
+10.4pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.36/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.01
+7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +105%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
448 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 75%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
17.7 Crosses 7.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
5-0
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
2.80 xG 0.09
71% Ball Possession 29%
28 Total Shots 2
10 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 0
569 Passes 196
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
53 Box Touches 9
34 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) swept aside Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 71% of the ball to Carl Zeiss Jena (K)'s 29%, shots finished 28-2, expected goals 2.80 to 0.09.

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)?

Bayern München (K) 5-0 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 64%, draw 19%, Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 17%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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