Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Paranaense v Atletico Mineiro — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
2-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
LKU
2-1
HT 1-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
2-1
HT 2-0
Atletico Mineiro
LKU
2-3
HT 1-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Atletico Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Paranaense edged past Atletico Mineiro 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 30% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 70%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.49 to 0.43.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.50 for Atletico Mineiro.
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Mineiro?
Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Mineiro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 41%, draw 28%, Atletico Mineiro 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.