Heerenveen (K) 3-1 Telstar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.8pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-51% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
319 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Telstar (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
03.03.2024 Telstar (K) Telstar (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) HOLK1
10.11.2023 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Telstar (K) Telstar (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen (K)
3-1
AWAY Telstar (K)
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 11
348 Passes 192
75% Pass Accuracy 65%
15 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Heerenveen (K) vs Telstar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen (K) saw off Telstar (K) 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Heerenveen (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Heerenveen (K) had 60% of the ball to Telstar (K)'s 40%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Heerenveen (K) and 1.00 for Telstar (K).

What was the final score of Heerenveen (K) vs Telstar (K)?

Heerenveen (K) 3-1 Telstar (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen (K) vs Telstar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heerenveen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen (K) 51%, draw 29%, Telstar (K) 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heerenveen (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heerenveen (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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