PSV Eindhoven (K) 4-1 AZ (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.25
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
76%
-11.5pp
22%
Draw
15%
+6.7pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+4.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.6pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
3.18/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.76
+36% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +44%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.2 Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY AZ (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 AZ (K) AZ (K) 3-3 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K)
4-1
AWAY AZ (K)
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
274 Passes 228
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven (K) vs AZ (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven (K) ran out comfortable winners over AZ (K) 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSV Eindhoven (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven (K) had 55% of the ball to AZ (K)'s 45%, shots finished 20-9.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven (K) vs AZ (K)?

PSV Eindhoven (K) 4-1 AZ (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven (K) vs AZ (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven (K) 65%, draw 22%, AZ (K) 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLK1 More Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie
17 Nov 2024
14:15 Heerenveen (K) vs Telstar (K) Analysis →