İzlanda U21 2-1 Polonya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies - Ülkeler U23, 17 Nov 2024

İzlanda U21
2-1
Polonya U21
📅17/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Friendlies - Ülkeler U23 – 2024

İzlanda U21 vs Polonya U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
53%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.03
Over
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.7
No
40%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
20%
3.87
2-3
44%
1.85
4-5
25%
3.24
6+
11%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.03
1/2
7%
23.0
1/X
3%
14.9
X/1
4%
9.46
X/2
18%
4.17
X/X
13%
5.33
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.24
2/X
5%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.5pp
53%
Away Win
54%
-1.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
55%
+5.0pp
40%
BTTS No
45%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İzlanda U21 v Polonya U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İzlanda U21 The Market 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya U21 The Market 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH İzlanda U21 vs Polonya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İzlanda U21 squeezed past Polonya U21 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Polonya U21 at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of İzlanda U21 vs Polonya U21?

İzlanda U21 2-1 Polonya U21 in the Friendlies - Ülkeler U23 on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İzlanda U21 vs Polonya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split İzlanda U21 27%, draw 21%, Polonya U21 53%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Polonya U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polonya U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HU23 More Friendlies - Ülkeler U23
17 Nov 2024
14:00 Kuzey Makedonya U21 vs Kosova U21 Analysis →