Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 1-0 Sporting Alexandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.38
Over 2.5
34%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.0pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
69%
-2.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
31%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl Kafr El Dawar EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Alexandria EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.74/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.50
-26% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +101%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
1-0
AWAY Sporting Alexandria
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs Sporting Alexandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar edged past Sporting Alexandria 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 29%) promised a tight game; Ghazl Kafr El Dawar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ghazl Kafr El Dawar had 39% of the ball to Sporting Alexandria's 61%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs Sporting Alexandria?

Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 1-0 Sporting Alexandria in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs Sporting Alexandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ghazl Kafr El Dawar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 38%, draw 33%, Sporting Alexandria 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ghazl Kafr El Dawar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ghazl Kafr El Dawar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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