Lyn Oslo 1-2 Kongsvinger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.9
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.94
1/2 EV+ ✓
7%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
8%
4.92
X/2
13%
6.8
X/X
14%
5.09
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
14%
4.64
2/X
8%
13.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.0 — our 7% vs market 1.3%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyn Oslo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 33%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
2.98/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.16
+84% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyn Oslo
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Kongsvinger
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2024 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-1 HT 0-1 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo NOR1
07.04.2024 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo 1-1 HT 1-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyn Oslo
1-2
AWAY Kongsvinger
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 31
7 Shots on Target 10
13 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lyn Oslo vs Kongsvinger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger nicked a narrow win over Lyn Oslo 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Kongsvinger found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lyn Oslo had 44% of the ball to Kongsvinger's 56%, shots finished 12-31.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lyn Oslo and 1.00 for Kongsvinger.

What was the final score of Lyn Oslo vs Kongsvinger?

Lyn Oslo 1-2 Kongsvinger in the Norway - 1st Division on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyn Oslo vs Kongsvinger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyn Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lyn Oslo 38%, draw 28%, Kongsvinger 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lyn Oslo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyn Oslo) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →