Hutnik Krakow 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 26% vs market 23.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hutnik Krakow EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.52/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.45
+2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
263 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hutnik Krakow
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.07.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 5-0 HT 3-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
24.02.2024 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 1-1 HT 0-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
13.08.2023 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0 HT 0-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
25.02.2023 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-1 HT 0-1 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
31.07.2022 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 0-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hutnik Krakow
1-0
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hutnik Krakow vs Jastrzebie Zdroj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hutnik Krakow nicked a narrow win over Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Hutnik Krakow made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hutnik Krakow had 53% of the ball to Jastrzebie Zdroj's 47%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Jastrzebie Zdroj led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Hutnik Krakow and 1.40 for Jastrzebie Zdroj.

What was the final score of Hutnik Krakow vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Hutnik Krakow 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj in the Poland - 2nd Division on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hutnik Krakow vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jastrzebie Zdroj win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hutnik Krakow 36%, draw 25%, Jastrzebie Zdroj 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) ✓ BTTS No
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