Hammam-Lif 1-1 AS Ariana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.04
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
46%
+7.6pp
21%
Draw
29%
-7.9pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.5pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammam-Lif EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-33% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammam-Lif
1-1
AWAY AS Ariana
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hammam-Lif vs AS Ariana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammam-Lif and AS Ariana shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Hammam-Lif at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Hammam-Lif had 57% of the ball to AS Ariana's 43%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Hammam-Lif vs AS Ariana?

Hammam-Lif 1-1 AS Ariana in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammam-Lif vs AS Ariana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammam-Lif win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hammam-Lif 53%, draw 21%, AS Ariana 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hammam-Lif), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammam-Lif) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TUN2 More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
17 Nov 2024
16:00 Sfax Railways vs Redeyef Analysis →