Montrose 4-4 Hibernian II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 17 Nov 2025

Montrose
4-4 HT 2-3
Hibernian II
📅17/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Scotland - Challenge Cup – 2025/2026

Montrose vs Hibernian II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.98
4-5 Goals
23%
2.57
6+ Goals
17%
6.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
51%
+3.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montrose v Hibernian II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montrose EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian II EU Bookmakers 29%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.91/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.61
+4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Montrose vs Hibernian II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montrose and Hibernian II couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 2-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Montrose at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Montrose vs Hibernian II?

Montrose 4-4 Hibernian II in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 17/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montrose vs Hibernian II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montrose win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Montrose 55%, draw 21%, Hibernian II 24%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Montrose) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montrose) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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