Achuapa 1-0 Mictlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 17 Nov 2025

📅17/11/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+6.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Mictlan EU Bookmakers 25%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-15% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
334 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mictlan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.09.2025 Mictlan Mictlan 1-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Achuapa
1-0
AWAY Mictlan
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Mictlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Achuapa nicked a narrow win over Mictlan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Achuapa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Achuapa had 51% of the ball to Mictlan's 49%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Mictlan?

Achuapa 1-0 Mictlan in the Guatemala - National League on 17/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Mictlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 46%, draw 25%, Mictlan 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Achuapa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Achuapa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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