Biggleswade Town 2-3 Harborough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Dec 2024

📅17/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
37%
-7.7pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.1pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.3pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Biggleswade Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.52/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/2.04
+2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Biggleswade Town
2-3
AWAY Harborough Town
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Biggleswade Town vs Harborough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town squeezed past Biggleswade Town 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Harborough Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Biggleswade Town had 53% of the ball to Harborough Town's 47%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Biggleswade Town vs Harborough Town?

Biggleswade Town 2-3 Harborough Town in the England - Non League Premier on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Biggleswade Town vs Harborough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Biggleswade Town 29%, draw 31%, Harborough Town 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harborough Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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