Kamboçya 2-1 Doğu Timor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFF Championship, 17 Dec 2024

📅17/12/2024 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.25
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
76%
-13.3pp
23%
Draw
15%
+8.1pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kamboçya EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Doğu Timor EU Bookmakers 12%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
3.92/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.42
+53% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
383 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 76%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
15.9 Crosses 4.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kamboçya
2-1
AWAY Doğu Timor
2.20 xG 0.44
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 1
435 Passes 172
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kamboçya vs Doğu Timor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kamboçya nicked a narrow win over Doğu Timor 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kamboçya as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kamboçya had 69% of the ball to Doğu Timor's 31%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 2.20 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kamboçya's control.

What was the final score of Kamboçya vs Doğu Timor?

Kamboçya 2-1 Doğu Timor in the AFF Championship on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kamboçya vs Doğu Timor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kamboçya win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Kamboçya 62%, draw 23%, Doğu Timor 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kamboçya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kamboçya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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