Pahang 1-3 Johor DT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malaysia - Super League, 17 Dec 2024

📅17/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
12.23
Draw
25%
7.78
Away Pick
59%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
39%
4-5
29%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Johor DT win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
5%
+10.6pp
25%
Draw
9%
+15.6pp
59%
Away Win
85%
-26.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pahang EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Johor DT EU Bookmakers 91%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.00/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.26/0.56
-100% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +22%
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
190 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 480 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 21.5
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pahang
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Johor DT
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
22.06.2024 Johor DT Johor DT 3-0 HT 1-0 Pahang Pahang MALES
03.12.2023 Pahang Pahang 0-2 HT 0-2 Johor DT Johor DT MALES
24.05.2023 Johor DT Johor DT 2-0 HT 1-0 Pahang Pahang MALES
07.10.2022 Pahang Pahang 0-0 HT 0-0 Johor DT Johor DT MALES
27.08.2021 Johor DT Johor DT 3-0 HT 3-0 Pahang Pahang MALES
16.04.2021 Pahang Pahang 0-2 HT 0-1 Johor DT Johor DT MALES
POST-MATCH Pahang vs Johor DT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Johor DT got the better of Pahang 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Johor DT as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Johor DT led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Pahang and 2.00 for Johor DT.

What was the final score of Pahang vs Johor DT?

Pahang 1-3 Johor DT in the Malaysia - Super League on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pahang vs Johor DT?

Before kick-off our model rated an Johor DT win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Pahang 16%, draw 25%, Johor DT 59%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Johor DT), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Johor DT) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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