Al-Ain 2-1 Al Hazm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 17 Dec 2024

📅17/12/2024 · 🕒15:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
59%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+5.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.2pp
59%
Away Win
60%
-1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.3pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Ain EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 64%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.72/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.46
-29% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +99%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
249 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Ain
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Hazm
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2023 Al-Ain Al-Ain 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD1
28.12.2022 Al Hazm Al Hazm 2-0 HT 1-0 Al-Ain Al-Ain SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al-Ain
2-1
AWAY Al Hazm
98% Ball Possession 2%
POST-MATCH Al-Ain vs Al Hazm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Ain nicked a narrow win over Al Hazm 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Hazm at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al-Ain had 98% of the ball to Al Hazm's 2%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Hazm led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Al-Ain and 1.50 for Al Hazm.

What was the final score of Al-Ain vs Al Hazm?

Al-Ain 2-1 Al Hazm in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 17/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Ain vs Al Hazm?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hazm win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al-Ain 21%, draw 20%, Al Hazm 59%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Hazm) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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