Carroi 2-1 FC Santa Coloma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 17 Dec 2025

📅17/12/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
8%
12.23
Draw
16%
8.11
Away
76%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.53
No
52%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
2%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
2%
2/2
55%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
8%
Home Win
5%
+3.0pp
16%
Draw
9%
+7.0pp
76%
Away Win
86%
-10.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
+12.3pp
52%
BTTS No
64%
-12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carroi EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 91%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
0.29/3.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.35/0.36
-42% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +20%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
218 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carroi
0W-0D-6L
AWAY FC Santa Coloma
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
27% Ball Possession 73%
4 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
14.12.2025 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 7-0 HT 3-0 Carroi AND
14.04.2024 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 4-0 HT 0-0 Carroi AND
03.12.2023 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 2-1 HT 1-0 Carroi AND
01.10.2023 Carroi 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
27.02.2022 Carroi 0-5 HT 0-5 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
19.12.2021 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 3-0 HT 1-0 Carroi AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carroi
2-1
AWAY FC Santa Coloma
24% Ball Possession 76%
7 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Carroi vs FC Santa Coloma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carroi edged past FC Santa Coloma 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FC Santa Coloma at 76% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Carroi had 24% of the ball to FC Santa Coloma's 76%, shots finished 7-25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Santa Coloma led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Carroi and 3.83 for FC Santa Coloma.

What was the final score of Carroi vs FC Santa Coloma?

Carroi 2-1 FC Santa Coloma in the Andorra - 1st Division on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carroi vs FC Santa Coloma?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Carroi 8%, draw 16%, FC Santa Coloma 76%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Santa Coloma), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Santa Coloma) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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