Al Qadsia 1-2 Al Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 17 Dec 2025

📅17/12/2025 · 🕒18:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 32% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.9pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Qadsia EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -1%
0.90/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.40
-30% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Qadsia
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Arabi
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2025 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
28.04.2025 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUVPK
19.01.2025 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 2-4 HT 2-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
21.08.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
16.05.2024 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
07.04.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
POST-MATCH Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi squeezed past Al Qadsia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Al Arabi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Qadsia and 1.67 for Al Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi?

Al Qadsia 1-2 Al Arabi in the Kuwait - Premier League on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Qadsia 36%, draw 24%, Al Arabi 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Arabi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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