Denizli İY Güreller 1-0 Alanya Kestelspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 17 Dec 2025

📅17/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denizli İY Güreller EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanya Kestelspor EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Denizli İY Güreller
1-0
AWAY Alanya Kestelspor
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Denizli İY Güreller vs Alanya Kestelspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denizli İY Güreller squeezed past Alanya Kestelspor 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Denizli İY Güreller made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Denizli İY Güreller had 47% of the ball to Alanya Kestelspor's 53%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Denizli İY Güreller vs Alanya Kestelspor?

Denizli İY Güreller 1-0 Alanya Kestelspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denizli İY Güreller vs Alanya Kestelspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denizli İY Güreller win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Denizli İY Güreller 40%, draw 31%, Alanya Kestelspor 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denizli İY Güreller), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Denizli İY Güreller) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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