18/01/2024
·
20:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
1-2
Douanes vs ASFB Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over Pick
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
41%
4-5
23%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
47%
Home Win
63%
22%
Draw
24%
30%
Away Win
13%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Douanes v ASFB — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Douanes
The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
ASFB
The Market 16%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
5
333 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
398 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Douanes vs ASFB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Douanes and ASFB fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Douanes at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
What was the final score of Douanes vs ASFB?
Douanes 0-0 ASFB in the Burkina Moroccoo - 1st Division on 18/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Douanes vs ASFB?
Before kick-off our model rated a Douanes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Douanes 47%, draw 22%, ASFB 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Douanes), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Douanes)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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BURK
More Burkina Moroccoo - 1st Division
18 Jan 2024