Fasil Ketema 0-1 Kedus Giorgis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 18 Jan 2024

Fasil Ketema
0-1 HT 0-0
Kedus Giorgis
📅18/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Etiyopya - Premier League – 2023/2024

Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
+0.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fasil Ketema v Kedus Giorgis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Fasil Ketema 0-1 Kedus Giorgis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
0-1
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis nicked a narrow win over Fasil Ketema 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Fasil Ketema carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 52% of the ball to Kedus Giorgis's 48%, shots finished 6-8.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?

Fasil Ketema 0-1 Kedus Giorgis in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 18/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fasil Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 58%, draw 22%, Kedus Giorgis 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Fasil Ketema), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fasil Ketema) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →