Medina United 1-2 FC Gunjur United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gambiya - GFA League, 18 Jan 2024

📅18/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
36%
4-5
24%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
35%
+7.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Medina United The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Gunjur United The Market 42%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.00/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-14% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -60%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Medina United vs FC Gunjur United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Gunjur United squeezed past Medina United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Medina United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Medina United vs FC Gunjur United?

Medina United 1-2 FC Gunjur United in the Gambiya - GFA League on 18/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Medina United vs FC Gunjur United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Medina United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Medina United 42%, draw 26%, FC Gunjur United 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Medina United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAM More Gambiya - GFA League
18 Jan 2024
19:00 Jarra West vs Unique Global FC Analysis →
19:00 Gambian Dutch Lions vs Tallinding United Analysis →