Olympiakos Nicosia 0-1 Paphos FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Cyprus Rum Kesimi - Cup, 18 Jan 2024

📅18/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
36%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.9pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.1pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos Nicosia The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Paphos FC The Market 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
423 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos Nicosia
0-1
AWAY Paphos FC
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Olympiakos Nicosia vs Paphos FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paphos FC squeezed past Olympiakos Nicosia 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Olympiakos Nicosia at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Olympiakos Nicosia had 37% of the ball to Paphos FC's 63%, shots finished 5-17.

What was the final score of Olympiakos Nicosia vs Paphos FC?

Olympiakos Nicosia 0-1 Paphos FC in the Cyprus Rum Kesimi - Cup on 18/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos Nicosia vs Paphos FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos Nicosia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos Nicosia 52%, draw 21%, Paphos FC 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Olympiakos Nicosia), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olympiakos Nicosia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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