Leon 1-2 Tigres UANL — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 18 Jan 2024

Leon
1 - 2 HT 0 - 0
Tigres UANL
📅18/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.28
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.83
Over
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.94
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2.92
2-3
47%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.87
6+
5%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.52
1/2
2%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
15%
5.17
X/2
12%
5.77
X/X
18%
4.23
2/1
3%
29.5
2/2
17%
4.11
2/X
5%
13.15
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Leon The Market 44%
Signal
AWAY Tigres UANL The Market 36%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.48 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
1.13 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.36
Weak Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Strong
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leon
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.21 xG 1.10
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
306 Passes 293
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.07.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 1-0 Leon Leon MEK
04.05.2023 Leon Leon 3-1 HT 2-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi
01.05.2023 Leon Leon 3-0 HT 2-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
26.04.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 2-1 Leon Leon Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi
11.09.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-1 HT 0-1 Leon Leon MEK
13.03.2022 Leon Leon 0-3 HT 0-2 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leon
1 - 2
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.61 xG 1.41
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
329 Passes 458
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
30 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Leon vs Tigres UANL
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tigres UANL found just enough to beat Leon 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Tigres UANL made the difference.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.

On the day, Leon had 44% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 56%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.61 to 1.41.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leon and 1.17 for Tigres UANL.

Leon vs Tigres UANL Result & Final Score

Leon 1 - 2 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 18/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Leon vs Tigres UANL Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leon 40%, draw 29%, Tigres UANL 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leon), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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