Everton (K) 1-1 Aston Villa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
30%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-7.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa (K) EU Bookmakers 58%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+14% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.6 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.14 xG 0.63
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
349 Passes 415
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Everton (K) Everton (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton (K)
1-1
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
0.36 xG 1.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
294 Passes 428
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Everton (K) vs Aston Villa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton (K) and Aston Villa (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Everton (K) had 43% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 57%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.36 to 1.14.

What was the final score of Everton (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Everton (K) 1-1 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Everton (K) 24%, draw 29%, Aston Villa (K) 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aston Villa (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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